Could Patrick Khaemba have won Trans Nzoia governor’s seat in the 2013 polls if he had not aligned himself with the Ford-Kenya party?
Did the 2013 runners-up Kakai Bisau fail to clinch the seat just because he had been sponsored by the defunct New Ford Kenya? And why did he also loss to Khaemba in 2017 after linking up with the powerful Jubilee party?
Even after veteran politician Noah Wekesa had ditched FK and moved to Raila Odinga’s ODM, he could not amass half of Khaemba’s over 100,000 votes he garnered in 2013 to win the gubernatorial office.
But one would ask: Why would Janet Nangabo win the Trans-Nzoia women rep seat on NFK but Bisau who had pulled resources together and rallied behind Eugene lose?
Come in 2017, Khaemba did it again against Bisau who had changed alliance to Jubilee party after NFK had merged with Jubilee.
For the senatorial seat, Mike Mbito who was Bisau’s running mate in 2013 beat the financially-able FK’s Henry Ole Ndiema leading to another question: Why did the voting pattern change from FK’s gubernatorial victory to the senator’s?
In Cherangany constituency, the tide favoured Jubilee’s Joshua Kuttuny against FK’s Patrick Simiyu on his second try. Then MP Wesley Korir’s independent candidacy did not work. Simiyu has now vowed to turn the tables in 2022.
The Jubilee factor worked well for Robert Pukose in Endebess but faltered in Kiminini and Kwanza where FK carried the day through Chris Wamalwa and Ferdinand Wanyonyi respectively. It is only in Saboti where Jubilee and FK suffered defeat where ODM’s Caleb Amisi emerged the winner.
What does all this portray for a cosmopolitan county like Trans Nzoia? That it is not only political parties that will determine results of general election in the county. That personal interactions will also play out here and that finances are also not be ruled out
For the governor’s seat, the results of the 2013 and 2017 polls, the sharing of the deputy governor’s position seemed not to alter the political scales. Khaemba and Bisau picked on Kalenjin running-mates as did Andrew Wanyonyi but this still did not work.
Even for Moses Khaoya who had a woman running mate did not fair well. The three have since gone back to the drawing board.
When Noah Wekesa introduced the MoU of negotiation for the county seats within the Jubilee party prior to the 2017 polls, things did not work out as anticipated.
Jubilee had been billed to lift the governor’s position through Bisau but the party’s strategies could rob him of this plum job.
But is Bisau serious after two straight defeats going for the same seat, three years away from the polls? What strategies has he put in place to stop his rivals in Jubilee and the opposition?
To Bisau his position in the DP’s office had despite bringing him closer to second most secured powerful office of the land apparently not been used well by him to understudy the DP as a shrewd politician.
“As a quick learner, I have picked on what it takes for a governor while consolidating support in my areas of weakness,” he said.
But Bisau will have to contend first with the fact he and Abraham Sing’oei are both gunning for the same position, a situation that is likely to bring into collision the local Jubilee supporters.
This according to both Bisau and Sing’oei is healthy democracy in the party that they are ready to face each other for the party’s nominations.
Bisau will however have to watch out against opposition aspirants set to derail his course to become Trans Nzoia second governor after Khaemba’s retirement.